Formation of a significant tropical cyclone is possible within 95 nm either side of a line from 13.6N 141.8E to 17.3N 142.6E within the next 6 to 24 hours. Available data do not justify issuance of numbered tropical cyclone warnings at this time.
The area of convection is located about 170 nm west-northwest of Guam. Winds in the area are estimated to be 18 to 22 knots (33 to 40 km/h).The system is moving north-northwestward at speed of 4 knots (7.4 km/h).
Sea surface temperatures, ranging from 27-29 degrees Celsius, are favorable for tropical cyclone development. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1008mB.
Due to the continued improvement of the convective banding, good upper level support and favorable sea surface temperatures, the potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high.
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