Hurricane Priscilla forecast to reach Category 2 strength this week
Hurricane Priscilla formed south of Mexico on October 5,2025. As of October 6, it is forecast to reach Category 2 strength this week as it moves offshore and parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur, through the earlier part of week.
Satellite image of Hurricane Priscilla at 11:00 UTC on October 6, 2025. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers
Hurricane Priscilla formed as the 10th hurricane of the 2025 eastern Pacific hurricane season at around 14:00 MST (21:00 UTC) on October 5.
At 02:00 MST (09:00 UTC) on October 6, the storm was located about 395 km (245 miles) south-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico, and 690 km (430 miles) south-southeast of the southern tip of Baja California.
Priscilla’s maximum sustained winds were 140 km/h (85 mph), with higher gusts, and the system was moving north-northwest at 7 km/h (5 mph), with an estimated minimum central pressure of 977 hPa.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 65 km (40 miles) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extended outward up to 315 km (195 miles).
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita, Mexico, where tropical storm conditions are expected within the next 24 hours.
The storm is forecast to continue moving north-northwest and to strengthen further over the next few days.
Priscilla’s center is expected to remain offshore, moving parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur through the early to middle part of this week.
The system is expected to become a category 2 hurricane and could approach major hurricane status within the next couple of days before it starts to weaken by midweek.
Outer rainbands from Priscilla will continue to produce heavy rainfall across portions of southwestern Mexico through October 6.
Rainfall totals of 50–100 mm (2–4 inches), with isolated maximum amounts up to 150 mm (6 inches), are expected across coastal portions of Michoacán and far western Guerrero.
Additional rainfall of 25–75 mm (1–3 inches) is forecast across Colima, western Jalisco, and coastal Guerrero, posing a risk of flash flooding in areas of higher terrain.
Swells generated by Priscilla have begun affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and are expected to reach west-central Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula on October 6, causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
References:
1 Hurricane Priscilla Advisory Number 7 – NHC – October 6, 2025
Rishav Kothari is Editor-in-Chief of The Watchers, where he runs the newsroom and covers earthquakes, volcanoes, severe weather and space weather.
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