El Niño strengthens as positive Indian Ocean Dipole raises warm, dry risk across Australia
El Niño has become established across the tropical Pacific, while seasonal forecast models favor the development of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) during the Southern Hemisphere winter and spring, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). If both climate drivers persist, they would increase the probability of warmer and drier conditions across much of Australia during the second half of 2026.










