Tropical Cyclone "Enawo" is expected to make landfall over SE Antsiranana Province, Madagascar shortly after 10:00 local time (07:00 UTC) on March 7, 2017. The system is expected to reach the coast as Category 2 hurricane equivalent. Winds produced by Enawo at the time of landfall can cause extensive damage. In addition, Enawo is bringing heavy rain which could cause major flooding and landslides.
At 06:00 UTC on March 6, Tropical Cyclone "Enawo" had maximum sustained winds of 167 km/h (103 mph), with gusts to 203 km/h (126 mph). This made it Category 2 hurricane equivalent on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale.
Tropical Cyclone "Enawo" multispectral satellite image at 06:00 UTC on March 6, 2017. Credit: JTWC/SATOPS, EUMETSAT
The system is expected to further intensify over the next 12 hours, peaking at 203 km/h (126 mph), and then begin to weaken. Enawo is being steered toward Madagascar by the subtropical ridge to the southeast and is expected to make landfall shortly after 07:00 UTC on March 7 as a Category 2 hurricane equivalent.
Category 2 hurricanes are producing extremely dangerous winds capable of causing extensive damage. Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks.
Current JRC estimations indicate a maximum storm surge height of 1 meter (3.3 feet) in Rantranavona (Helodrano Antongila Bay, Toamasina Province) on March 7 at 15.00 UTC.
After landfall, Enawo is expected continue tracking southward across the country and weaken, pass over capital Antananarivo on March 8 and emerge over water near Matanga on March 9.
Tropical Cyclone "Enawo" IR satellite image with JTWC forecast track issued 06:00 UTC on March 6, 2017. Credit: UW-CIMSS
Credit: NASA/JAXA GPM, UW-CIMSS, JTWC, Google
March 7, 13:00 UTC
Enawo made landfall at 08:00 UTC (11:00 local time) on March 7 at 14.6 degrees north latitude and 50.2 degrees east longitude, about half way between Sambava and Antalaha. As it hit, Enawo became quasi-stationary and pounded Antalaha with strong winds and heavy rain for several hours.
At 09:00 UTC (4 a.m. EST) its maximum sustained winds were 231 km/h (144 mph) making it a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale.
Drought-stricken Madagascar will likely receive between 700 and 900 mm (27 and 36 inches) of rain this week.
Major flooding and landslides are possible.
— Geól. Sergio Almazán (@chematierra) March 7, 2017
— Mike deCoster-Milman (@mike_dc_m) March 7, 2017
Life-threatening impacts are expected as it moves further inland.
Featured image: Tropical Cyclone "Enawo" at 05:30 UTC on March 7, 2017. Credit: UW-CIMSS
If you value what we do here, create your ad-free account and support our journalism.
Your support makes a difference
Dear valued reader,
We hope that our website has been a valuable resource for you.
The reality is that it takes a lot of time, effort, and resources to maintain and grow this website. We rely on the support of readers like you to keep providing high-quality content.
If you have found our website to be helpful, please consider making a contribution to help us continue to bring you the information you need. Your support means the world to us and helps us to keep doing what we love.
Support us by choosing your support level – Silver, Gold or Platinum.
Other support options include Patreon pledges, one-off payments using PayPal and purchasing products from our webshop.
Thank you for your consideration. Your support is greatly appreciated.