Tropical Storm “Karl” forecast to make landfall over SE Mexico

Tropical Storm “Kark” formed in the Bay of Campeche at 21:00 UTC on October 11, 2022, as the 11^th named storm of the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The system is expected to strengthen today as it moves slowly over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

• On the forecast track, Karl will be approaching the coast of Mexico, near Cabo Rojo and Roca Partida, on October 13
• Heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding in the Isthmus of Tehuantepec and in the southern Sierra Madre Oriental mountains and adjacent coastal areas with possible mudslides in areas of higher terrain

At 06:00 UTC on October 12, the center of Tropical Storm “Karl” was located 225 km (140 miles) NE of Veracruz, Mexico and 265 km (165 miles) E of Tuxpan, Mexico.

It had maximum sustained winds were 65 km/h (40 mph) and minimum central pressure 1 006 hPa.

Karl was moving toward the north-northwest near 9 km/h (6 mph), and this motion is expected to continue through today. A turn to the west and west-southwest is expected this evening (LT), followed by a turn to the southwest by Thursday morning (LT), October 13.

On the forecast track, Karl will be approaching the coast of Mexico within the watch area – Cabo Rojo to Roca Partida, on Thursday.

Gradual strengthening is expected for the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening on Thursday.

After Karl moves onshore, rapid decay is expected due to the mountainous terrain, and Karl is likely to dissipate in around 72 hours.

References:

¹ Tropical Storm Karl – Intermediate Advisory Number 2A – NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL – 100 AM CDT Wed Oct 12 2022

Featured image: Tropical Storm “Karl” at 21:20 UTC on October 11, 2022. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers