Swells generated by Hurricane “Earl” expected to reach Bermuda and the U.S. East Coast today

hurricane earl 2050z september 7 2022

Hurricane “Earl” formed on September 3, 2022, as the 5th named storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and strengthened into a hurricane on September 7. Swells generated by Earl are expected to reach Bermuda by tonight (LT) and the U.S. East Coast shortly thereafter. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend.

At 06:00 UTC on September 8, the center of Hurricane “Earl” was located about 525 km (325 miles) S of Bermuda. It had maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h (100 mph) and minimum central pressure of 970 hPa, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).1

Earl is moving toward the north near 17 km/h (9 mph), with a turn toward the NNE expected later today followed by a turn to the northeast tonight with a gradual increase in forward speed.

hurricane earl 2050z september 7 2022
Hurricane “Earl” at 20:50 UTC on September 7, 2022. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers

Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Earl is expected to become a major hurricane later today or tonight (LT).

Earl’s wind field is growing in size. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 95 km (60 miles) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 260 km (160 miles).

hurricane earl nhc fcst 06z september 8 2022
Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for Bermuda
hurricane earl wind speed probabilities 06z september 8 2022

Although Earl’s center is forecast to pass southeast of Bermuda, the wind field is expected to grow, with tropical-storm-force winds forecast to spread across the island beginning late Thursday, September 8 and continuing through Friday morning, NHC forecasters Bucci and Pasch noted.2

Hurricane-force winds are possible on Bermuda late Thursday or Thursday night if Earl’s track shifts farther west than is currently forecast.

Swells generated by Earl are expected to reach Bermuda by tonight (LT) and the U.S. East Coast shortly thereafter.

These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend.

References:

1 Hurricane Earl Intermediate Advisory Number 21A – NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL – 0200 AM AST Thu Sep 08 2022

2 Hurricane Earl Discussion Number 21 – NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL – 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 07 2022

Featured image: Hurricane “Earl” at 20:50 UTC on September 7, 2022. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers

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