Tropical Storm “Jasmine” to make landfall over Madagascar

Tropical Storm “Jasmine” formed in the Mozambique Channel on April 24, 2022, as the 11^th named storm of the 2021/22 Southwest Indian Ocean Cyclone Season. The storm is expected to make landfall in an area close to Toliara, Madagascar during the afternoon hours (LT) of April 26, with maximum sustained winds up to 105 km/h (65 mph).

At 06:00 UTC on April 26, Jasmine was a Severe Tropical Storm located about 150 km (95 miles) NNE of Toliara, Madagascar.

The storm had maximum average 10-minute wind speed of 100 km/h (62 mph) and a central pressure of 989 hPa, RSMC La Reunion said.¹

Jasmine is moving ESE at 15 km/h (9 mph) and is expected to make landfall in the afternoon (LT) of April 26 in an area close to Toliara.

The weather deterioration has started near Toliara and the conditions should worsen in the next hours, the center said.

Maximum wind gusts of 130 km/h (80 mph) are possible near the landing area.

Heavy rains may give rainfall totals around 100 to 150 mm (4 – 6 inches) in a few hours south of the track.

A storm surge in the order of 10 to 30 cm (0.3 – 1 foot) may cause flooding in exposed areas with the swells.

Jasmine is expected to weaken after making landfall and dissipate on April 27.

References:

¹ RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING – WARNING NUMBER: 17/12/20212022 – SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 12 (JASMINE) – 06:00 UTC, April 27, 2022

Featured image credit: UW-CIMSS, TW