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Near-record cold and dangerous wind chills forecast across the Northern Plains and Mid-South

A surge of Arctic air is forecast to move south from the Northern High Plains on Friday, December 12, 2025, driving near-record lows and dangerous wind chills across the Northern Plains and Mid-South through the weekend. 

GFS 2m temperature anomaly graphic for the eastern USA initialized at 00Z on Decmeber 12, 2025

Image credit: Tropical Tidbits

Near-record temperatures and dangerous wind chills are forecast across the Northern Plains and Mid-South through the weekend. Arctic air is forecast to move southward from the Northern High Plains on Friday, December 12.

The cold air mass will then expand into the Central Plains and Ohio Valley by Saturday, December 13, and reach the Mid-South and Mid-Atlantic on Sunday, December 14.

Temperatures are expected to drop 20–30°C (68–86°F) across the region. Temperatures are expected to drop well below -17°C (0°F) across the Northern High Plains through the Ohio Valley. Lows below -7°C (20°F) are forecast far into the northern Gulf and the Mid-Atlantic.

Videos credit: Tropical Tidbits

The freezing cold will come along with strong winds of 32–48 km/h (20–35 mph), bringing dangerous wind chills of up to -34°C (-30°F) to the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest through the weekend starting Friday. Meanwhile, wind chills below -17°C (0°F) are forecast across much of the Mid-Mississippi Valley and into the Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians.

Such wind chills can cause life-threatening hypothermia and frostbite to exposed skin. The National Weather Service (NWS) has advised citizens to carry a winter survival kit and take proper precautions to protect animals and livestock.

The freezing is the result of a shifting Polar Vortex that is driving waves of Arctic air into the U.S. this month, after it began to collapse in November. The collapse was the result of an early-season stratospheric warming that disrupted the vortex, leading to the chilling winter conditions across the northern USA this December.

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I am an Assistant Editor and Severe Weather & Science Journalist at The Watchers, specializing in real-time severe weather coverage, geophysical event reporting, and research-driven scientific analysis. You can reach me at rishav(at)watchers(.)news.

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