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Asteroid 2024 RW1 impacts Earth’s atmosphere over the Philippines – 9th predicted Earth impactor in history

Small asteroid to harmlessly impact Earth's atmosphere over the Philippines on September 4

Image credit: Catalina Sky Survey

A small asteroid detected by the Mt. Lemmon Survey in Arizona, U.S. at 05:43 UTC today, September 4, 2024, is expected to harmlessly impact Earth’s atmosphere over the Philippines at around 16:39 UTC. The object is designated as asteroid 2024 RW1.

  • A newly discovered asteroid designated 2024 RW1 (previously CAQTDL2) is expected to impact Earth’s atmosphere over the Philippines at 16:39 UTC on September 4, 2024.
  • This is the only 9th time in history that an asteroid has been discovered before impacting Earth.

The asteroid has a diameter of just around 1 m (3.3 feet) so most if not all of it will burn in the atmosphere before reaching Earth’s surface, creating a very bright fireball.

If current calculations are correct, the asteroid will impact the atmosphere at around 16:39 UTC over Luzon, Northern Philippines. In the Philippines, the entry time will be 00:39 LT on September 5.

Very small pieces of this object may survive the entry providing a rare opportunity for meteorite hunting.

Unfortunately, bad weather will severely limit observations.

Heavy rains are especially expected in areas like Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, La Union, and Benguet. According to the weather forecast, the Southwest Monsoon is bringing heavy to intense rains over these areas, with rainfall amounts ranging from 100 – 200 mm (4 to 8 inches). Moderate to heavy rains (50 – 100 mm / 2 – 4 inches) are also expected over surrounding regions, including parts of Metro Manila, Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, and Nueva Ecija. These conditions may result in flooding and landslides, particularly in susceptible areas.

Given this forecast, those interested in meteorite hunting in Luzon following the asteroid event should prepare for potential heavy rain and challenging conditions, especially in the northern regions.

According to CNEOS, 2024 RW1 will enter Earth’s atmosphere at a relative speed of 23.7 km/s. The object belongs to the Apollo group of asteroids and has an estimated diameter between 1.1 and 2.4 m (3.6 – 7.9 feet).

asteroid 2024 rw1 orbit diagram - impact september 4 2024

This is the only 9th time in history that an asteroid has been discovered before impacting Earth. Find available data and links in the table below.

Predicted Earth impactors

Updated at 11:20 UTC on May 16, 2026
Object / TypeDiscovery date (UTC)Impact date (UTC)Impact locationDimensions (~)Energy released (kt)Notes
2008 TC3 (Apollo)October 6, 2008 at 06:39October 7, 2008 at 02:46Nubian desert, Sudan4 m (13.1 feet)1600 meteorites found. Total weight 11 kg.
2014 AA (Apollo)January 1, 2014 at 06:18January 2, 2014 at 03:06Atlantic Ocean3 m (9.8 feet)0.5 - 0.1-
2018 LA (Apollo)June 2, 2018 at 08:22June 2, 2018 at 16:44Botswana/South Africa3 m (9.8 feet)0.4At least 24 meteorites found. Ejected by asteroid Vesta. Howardite-Eucrite-Diogenite (HED) type material
2019 MO (Apollo)June 22, 2019 at 07:24June 22, 2019 at 21:25Puerto Rico5 m (16.4 feet)6Possibly Alinda asteroid. NEXRAD weather radar detected falling meteorites over water.
2022 EB5 (Apollo)March 11, 2022 at 19:24March 11, 2022 at 21:22Jan Mayen Island, Norway1 m (6.4 feet)2-
2022 WJ1 (Apollo)November 19, 2022 at 04:53November 19, 2022 at 08:27Ontario, Canada1 m (3.2 feet)-Most meteorites fell in water.
2023 CX1 (Apollo)February 12, 2023 at 20:18February 13, 2023 at 02:59Normandy, France1 m (3.2 feet)-Over 22 meteorites.
2024 BX1 (Apollo)January 20, 2024 at 20:48January 21, 2024 at 00:33Berlin, Germany 0.7 - 1.6 m (2.23 - 5.2 feet) / ~140 kg-About 200 meteorites. Total weight 1.8 kg.
2024 RW1 (Apollo)September 4, 2024 at 05:43September 4, 2024 at 16:39Luzon, Philippines1.1 - 2.4 m (3.6 – 7.9 feet)0.2-
2024 UQOctober 22, 2024October 22, 2024 at 10:54Eastern Pacific Ocean1 m (3.2 feet)0.15-
2024 XA1December 3, 2024 at 05:55December 3, 2024 at 16:15Siberia, Russia70 cm (2.3 feet)--
2026 JN4May 15, 2026 at 08:08May 15, 2026, at 13:44Arafura Sea region0.65 - 1.4 m (2.1 - 4.5 feet)--

Multimedia

The impact took place as predicted and videos have started coming in:

I'm a dedicated researcher, journalist, and editor at The Watchers. With over 20 years of experience in the media industry, I specialize in hard science news, focusing on extreme weather, seismic and volcanic activity, space weather, and astronomy, including near-Earth objects and planetary defense strategies. You can reach me at teo /at/ watchers.news.

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