Major rainfall event for the Philippines, new cyclone threatening Madagascar

himawari-9 0720z-january-10-2023

A tropical disturbance in the Western Pacific is about to lash the Philippine islands and will persist for several days over the area and potentially develop into a tropical cyclone.

Samar and Catanduanes are likely to receive the highest rainfall, with up to 700 mm (27.5 inches) possible according to computer model depictions. Catastrophic flooding issues are likely, with high rain rates expected over the next few days.

YouTube video

Elsewhere, a tropical disturbance in the Southwest Indian Ocean could develop into a cyclone as it starts to turn towards the southwest, and could affect Madagascar and the Mascarene islands next week, Force Thirteen reports.

Model runs have been developing more consistency with this cyclone being a major issue for the region, with a powerful storm possibly on the cards.

In the South Pacific, an area of interest is developing near French Polynesia, and could develop into a tropical cyclone as it steers southwards late this week and towards the Austral Islands. There is also a chance for a storm near Fiji this week, but uncertainty remains too high for a designation at this time.

Featured image credit: JMA/Himawari-9, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers. Acquired at 07:20 UTC on January 10, 2023


Commenting rules and guidelines

We value the thoughts and opinions of our readers and welcome healthy discussions on our website. In order to maintain a respectful and positive community, we ask that all commenters follow these rules:

  • Treat others with kindness and respect.
  • Stay on topic and contribute to the conversation in a meaningful way.
  • Do not use abusive or hateful language.
  • Do not spam or promote unrelated products or services.
  • Do not post any personal information or content that is illegal, obscene, or otherwise inappropriate.

We reserve the right to remove any comments that violate these rules. By commenting on our website, you agree to abide by these guidelines. Thank you for helping to create a positive and welcoming environment for all.


  1. Dear Watchers,

    Thank you for bringing this information to light.

    My question to you is: what effect, if any, is geoegineering having on the severity of storms and weather? What about the ionospheric heaters steering weather and intensifying it?
    Any insight or information you have regarding geoengineering would be greatly appreciated.
    Dane Wigginton of geoengineeringwatch.org is about the only one discussing this issue.

    Many thanks!

    1. It’s definitely having an effect. To me, it seems like it’s having a butterfly effect. Also, you can’t influence the weather over one country, without affecting it over neighboring countries… that seems to be one of the problems we’ve seen recently.

      Much has been said about ihs, but it’s hard to find enough reliable cause-and-effect data. Certainly, when really extreme events happen, ihs comes back to the discussion tho not as much lately as it has been the case in recent years. I guess people are now used to geoengineering as information about it is in the legacy media as well.

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *