The first tropical cyclone of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season is brewing southwest of Bermuda. Formation chance through the next 48 hours is 60%, NHC said 02:00 EDT (06:00 UTC), May 20, 2019.
Satellite-derived wind data indicate that a trough of low pressure has developed within a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers several hundred miles to the southwest of Bermuda, NHC forecaster Stewart said.
A low pressure system is expected to form within this area of disturbed weather later today, and possibly develop into a short-lived subtropical or tropical cyclone by tonight or Tuesday, May 21, while moving northward or northeastward.
Image credit: NOAA/GOES-East. Acquired May 19, 2019
By Wednesday, however, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development, and the system should become rapidly absorbed by a cold front.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon (EDT), if necessary.
Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.
If this system develops tropical characteristics, it will be named Andrea.
The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season will officially begin on June 1, 2019, and end on November 30, 2019.
Eastern and Central Pacific currently have no developing systems.
Featured image credit: NWS/NHC