• CME impact and high-speed stream forecast to enhance geomagnetic activity through September 8

    A large filament eruption was observed at 19:45 UTC on September 4, 2025, followed by at least three CMEs. Model runs suggest a likely arrival early on September 7. In addition, a recurrent positive polarity coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) activity is expected to enhance solar wind parameters beginning early September 6, with G1 – Minor to G2 – Moderate geomagnetic storm conditions likely through September 8.

  • Long-duration M8.1 solar flare produces strong Earth-directed CME, impact expected on June 1

    A strong, long-duration solar flare registered as M8.1 erupted from Active Region 4100 at 00:05 UTC on May 31, 2025. The flare began at 23:31 UTC on May 30 and ended at 01:32 UTC on May 31. The eruption produced a significant coronal mass ejection (CME). Model forecasts indicate that the CME is Earth-directed and is expected to arrive on June 1.