• Solar activity increases to high levels, Earth-directed CMEs possible in days ahead

    Two powerful X-class solar flares erupted on November 4, 2025 — an X1.8 from Region 4274 and an X1.1 from a region just beyond the east limb — launching CMEs largely off the solar limb. NOAA forecasts G1 – Minor to G2 – Moderate geomagnetic storming from late November 6 into 7 as Earth may experience a glancing shock from the flares combined with a coronal hole high-speed stream.

  • Multiple CMEs heading toward Earth, impacts expected between October 15 and 17

    Two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) launched from Active Region 4246 on October 13, 2025, are heading toward Earth and are expected to impact Earth over the next couple of days, according to NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Model output indicates arrival around mid to late October 17, though forecasters note a possible earlier impact as both CMEs interact with earlier ejecta from the same region.

  • CME impact and high-speed stream forecast to enhance geomagnetic activity through September 8

    A large filament eruption was observed at 19:45 UTC on September 4, 2025, followed by at least three CMEs. Model runs suggest a likely arrival early on September 7. In addition, a recurrent positive polarity coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) activity is expected to enhance solar wind parameters beginning early September 6, with G1 – Minor to G2 – Moderate geomagnetic storm conditions likely through September 8.