Category 2 Hurricane "Vance" targets western Mexico

Category 2 Hurricane

Hurricane Vance is now located south of Isla Socorro in the Pacific Ocean and is moving northward toward western Mexico. In its report issued at 21:00 UTC on November 3, 2014, NHC reported maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h (110 mph) with gusts up to 215 km/h (135 mph). The system was moving northward at speed of 19 km/h (12 mph). 

NOAA's GOES-West satellite captured an image of Hurricane Vance and a developing low pressure area System 94E, southeast of the hurricane at 12:00 UTC on November 3, 2014. (Credit: NOAA/GOES).

US National hurricane Center's Eastern Pacific tropical cyclone activity overlook. (Credit: NOAA/NHC)

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 km (15 miles) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 km (125 miles). The estimated minimum central pressure was 965 mb.

​Rough ocean swells are expected along the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur in the next 24 hours.

5-day forecast track and tropical storm force wind speed probabilities maps. (Credit: NOAA/NHC)

The NHC believes that Vance has peaked in intensity and will begin to rapidly weaken in the next couple of days as it curves to the coast near the border of Mexico and California. Strong vertical shear over Vance is forecast to rapidly weaken the system to a tropical depression after the next 24 hours.

The system is expected to dissipate by early November 7, 2014. Vance and its remnants are likely to spread northeastward across Mexico and into the south-central United States during the next several days, bringing heavy rains through November 6/7, 2014.

GOES WEST IR imagery taken at 20:45 UTC on November 3, 2014. (Credit: NOAA/UW-CIMSS)

Hurricane vance forecast track models. (Credit: UWM/JTWC)

Satellite animations

Featured image: Hurricane Vance captured by GOES East at 14:45 UTC on November 3, 2014. (Credit: NOAA/GOES)

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