Asteroid 2024 YR4’s impact risk has dropped to 0.0017%, placing it a level 0 on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale. There remains a 1.7% chance of the asteroid impacting the moon on December 22, 2032.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is making headlines again after new calculations revealed that the asteroid now has an impact probability to Earth of just 0.16% in 2032.
The impact risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032 increased from 1.8% to 2.6% (1 in 38) with new trajectory simulations and refined calculations. While the increase remains within a low-risk range, continued monitoring and additional observations will be necessary to further refine impact predictions.
The impact risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032 increased from 1.2% to 1.8% on February 6, 2025, following new trajectory simulations and refined calculations. While the increase remains within a low-risk range, continued monitoring and additional observations will be necessary to further refine impact predictions.
A newly discovered asteroid designated 2024 YR4 has activated global planetary defense protocols after initial observations indicated a small but notable chance of impact in seven years. International monitoring networks have begun refining its trajectory, while space agencies evaluate potential response strategies, including possible deflection measures.
A newly discovered near-Earth asteroid designated 2024 YR4 has been identified with a more than 1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032. Astronomers are actively refining its orbit and the potential risk remains under evaluation.
A newly-discovered asteroid currently designated COWEPC5 is expected to impact Earth’s atmosphere over Siberia, Russia at around 16:15 UTC (08:15 PST) on December 3, 2024. This is the 11th predicted Earth impactor on record – and the 4th so far this year.
A newly discovered asteroid designated 2024 XA flew past Earth at 0.02 LD / 0.00005 AU (7 726 km / 4 801 miles) from the center of our planet at 09:46 UTC on December 1, 2024. This is about 1 355 km (842 miles) above the surface, making it the closest asteroid flyby of the year.
A newly discovered asteroid designated 2024 VR4 flew past Earth at a distance of just 0.07 LD / 0.00020 AU (29 300 km / 18 200 miles) from the center of our planet at 08:52 UTC on November 11, 2024.
A newly discovered asteroid designated 2024 UG9 flew past Earth at a distance of 0.021 LD / 0.00006 AU (8 850 km / 5 499 miles) from the center of our planet at 12:42 UTC on October 30, 2024. This places it about 2 479 km (1 540 miles) from Earth’s surface.
