Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall issued, life-threatening flash floods forecast for south-central Texas
A Moderate Risk (Level 3 of 4) of excessive rainfall is in effect for parts of south-central Texas through Tuesday morning, July 14, 2026. Repeated thunderstorms threaten are expected to produce life-threatening flash flooding across portions of southwest Texas. Forecast guidance shows a greater than 70% chance of rainfall exceeding 76 mm (3 inches) and a more than 50% chance of totals above 127 mm (5 inches) within the Moderate Risk area, while the National Water Center (NWC) expects considerable flooding impacts to last through Thursday, July 16


