Turkish geoscientist warns of significant earthquake risk in Bingol, Tunceli, and Erzincan

Image credit: TW/SAM, ESRI
A prominent Turkish geoscientist known for his accurate earthquake predictions issued a new warning concerning an imminent seismic event in Turkey. Speaking on a televised program, Prof. Dr. Naci Gorur detailed the likelihood of a significant earthquake, predicting a magnitude of at least 7.4 in the region spanning Bingol, Tunceli, and Erzincan provinces.
According to Prof. Gorur, the Yedisu fault line, which lies between Erzincan and Karliova in Bingol, is expected to be the source of this earthquake as the fault line is at a critical point, and the earthquake cycle in the region has stalled, making the event imminent.
“An earthquake over magnitude 7 is likely, and it will be highly destructive,” Gorur said, adding that Tunceli is among the areas at risk.
“The governor of Tunceli and the governors of that region took my words seriously. I also spoke to the district governors there. I warned them as much as I could. They are working in Tunceli.”
Further elaborating on the situation, Prof. Gorur expressed concern about the area between Karliova and Bingol-Goynuk, indicating that energy transfer from the February 20, 2024, earthquakes may have increased the seismic risk in this region.
He reiterated that the expected earthquake could have a magnitude of at least 7.4 and warned that the affected areas, particularly Tunceli, are at significant risk.
Prof. Gorur’s warning is particularly notable due to his history of accurate earthquake predictions, making his latest forecast a matter of significant concern for the residents of Bingol, Tunceli, and Erzincan.
References:
1 Renowned Turkish expert warns of imminent 7.4 earthquake in three Turkish cities – Turkiye Today -August 31, 2024
2 Prof. Dr. Naci Görür warned, saying ‘it’s imminent’: ‘It could be at least 7.4 – Sputnik Turkiye – August 31, 2024
I am an Assistant Editor and Severe Weather & Science Journalist at The Watchers, specializing in real-time severe weather coverage, geophysical event reporting, and research-driven scientific analysis. You can reach me at rishav(at)watchers(.)news.


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