Cyclonic Storm "Ashobaa" forms in the Arabian Sea, heading toward Pakistan and Iran

Cyclonic Storm

A deep depression located over eastcentral Arabian Sea has intensified into Cyclonic Storm "Ashobaa" early morning June 8, 2015. Ashobaa is moving NNW, toward Pakistan and Iran, dumping heavy rain over the sea and is expected to intensify into a Severe Cyclonic Storm. 

At 03:00 UTC on June 8, Ashobaa was centered about 590 km (366 miles) SW of Mumbai, 470 km (292 miles) SW of Veraval and 960 km ESE of Masirah Island, Oman. 

According to IMD's RSMC New Delhi special bulletin issued issued 05:30 UTC on June 7, Ashobaa is moving NNW and is expected to further intensify into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during next 36 hours.

Under the influence of this system, rainfall would occur at most places with isolated heavy falls over coastal Karnataka, Konkan & Goa and south Gujarat during the next 24 hours.

Strong winds speed reaching 70 - 80 km/h (43 - 49 mph) and gusting to 90 km/h (56 mph) would prevail along and off Karnataka, Goa and Maharashtra coasts during next 24 hrs and 90 - 100 km/h (56 - 62 mph) with gusting to 120 km/h (74 mph) during subsequent 24 hours.

Sea condition would be very rough to high along and off Karnataka, Goa and Maharashtra coasts during the next 48 hours.

Fishermen along and off Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra and Gujarat coasts are advised not to venture into the sea during next 48 hours. Fishermen out at open sea are advised to return to the coast, the agency said.

Tropical Cyclone 01A on June 8, 2015. Image credit: IMD/ISRO/RAPID.

According to JTWC's tropical cyclone warning issued at 00:00 UTC on June 8, the system had maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (46 mph) with gusts to 93 km/h (58 mph). It was located approximately 792 km (492 miles) NM south of Karachi, Pakistan.

Forecast track by JTWC 03:00 UTC on June 8, 2015.

JTWC forecast calls for maximum intensity of about 129 km/h (80 miles) by 00:00 UTC on June 11 when Ashobaa should be about 210 km (130 miles) S of Gwadar, Pakistan.

By 00:00 UTC on June 13, Ashobaa should be centered about 99 km (61 miles) of Chabahar, Iran affecting Pakistan, Iran, Oman and UAE.​

AccuWeather Meteorologist Anthony Sagliani warns that "if the tropical cyclone tracks into eastern Oman it could cause major flooding across the mountainous desert terrain. Flooding will also threaten areas along the southern coasts of Iran and Pakistan should the storm track farther to the east."

Tropical Cyclone 01A on June 8, 2015. Image includes JTWC's forecast track and GPM's 24-hour rainfall accumulation. Credit: Google/JTWC/GPM.

Cyclonic Storm "Ashobaa" on June 8, 2015. Image credit: NASA Terra/MODIS.

According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, this weather system has already been responsible for the onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala, southwest India on June 5 and its further advancement. 

"Kerala had witnessed heavy rainfall on June 5 and 6 on account of the system. But as the system shifted slightly away from the coast, intensity of rain over Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu was reduced. Monsoon rain will pick up once again after next three days."

Featured image credit: Cyclonic Storm "Ashobaa" on June 8, 2015. Image credit: NASA Terra/MODIS.

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