·

Hurricane “Kay” expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds to Baja California

hurricane kay at 2350z september 6 2022 f

Hurricane “Kay” is expected to bring strong winds and heavy rain to portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula on September 7, 2022. Kay is the 12th named storm of the 2022 Pacific hurricane season and the 8th hurricane.

  • Kay is a very large tropical cyclone, producing an extensive area of high seas, with swells affecting portions of southwestern Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula.
  • Although it is likely to weaken before it makes its closest approach to the west-central coast of the Baja peninsula, it is forecast to remain a large and dangerous hurricane through that time.
  • In addition, high wind, surf, and rainfall impacts will extend far from the center so users should not focus on the exact forecast track.

At 06:00 UTC on September 7, the center of Hurricane “Kay” was located about 410 km (255 miles) SSW of the southern tip of Baja California, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).1

It had maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h (90 mph) and minimum central pressure of 975 hPa.

The hurricane was moving NW at 20 km/h (13 mph).

hurricane kay at 2350z september 6 2022 bg
Hurricane “Kay” at 23:50 UTC on September 6, 2022. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers

A turn toward the north-northwest is expected today, and this motion should continue into Friday, September 9.

Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Kay could become a major hurricane during that time. Weakening is forecast to begin by Thursday, but Kay is forecast to remain a strong hurricane when it passes near the Baja California peninsula.

On the forecast track, the center of Kay is expected to pass to the west of the southern Baja California peninsula today, and be near the west-central coast of the Baja California peninsula Thursday and Friday.

hurricane kay nhc fcst track 06z september 7 2022
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Puerto Cortes to Punta Eugenia, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Punta Abreojos southward to Cabo San Lucas; and Cabo San Lucas northward to Santa Rosalia. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for areas north of Santa Rosalia to Bahia De Los Angeles; and north of Punta Eugenia to San Jose De Las Palomas.
Hurricane Kay rainfall potential
Hurricane Kay Wind Speed Probabilities

NHC forecasters warn that heavy rainfall produced by Hurricane “Kay” could lead to flash flooding, including landslides, across portions of the Baja California peninsula and mainland northwestern Mexico through Friday.2

Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the Baja California peninsula beginning Wednesday morning, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect.

Hurricane conditions are possible along portions of the west-central Baja California coast on Thursday, where a hurricane watch has been issued. Additional tropical storm watches and warnings for the northern Baja California peninsula could be required later tonight and Wednesday.

References:

1 Hurricane Kay Intermediate Advisory Number 11A – NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL – 1200 AM MDT Wed Sep 07 2022

2 Hurricane Kay Discussion Number 11 – NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL – 0900 PM MDT Tue Sep 06 2022

Featured image credit: Hurricane “Kay” at 23:50 UTC on September 6, 2022. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers

If you value what we do here, create your ad-free account and support our journalism.

Share:


Your support makes a difference

Dear valued reader,

We hope that our website has been a valuable resource for you.

The reality is that it takes a lot of time, effort, and resources to maintain and grow this website. We rely on the support of readers like you to keep providing high-quality content.

If you have found our website to be helpful, please consider making a contribution to help us continue to bring you the information you need. Your support means the world to us and helps us to keep doing what we love.

Support us by choosing your support level – Silver, Gold or Platinum.

Other support options include Patreon pledges, one-off payments using PayPal and purchasing products from our webshop.

Thank you for your consideration. Your support is greatly appreciated.

Sincerely,
Teo Blašković

$5 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Clean user interface and fast browsing
  • Direct communication with us via chat and email
  • Suggest new features, content and applications
  • Early access to new apps and features

$50 /year

$10 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Clean user interface and fast browsing
  • Direct communication with us via chat and email
  • Suggest new features, content and applications
  • Early access to new apps and features

$100 /year

$25 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Clean user interface and fast browsing
  • Direct communication with us via chat and email
  • Suggest new features, content and applications
  • Early access to new apps and features

$200 /year

You can also support us on Patreon

support us on patreon

or by sending us a one-off payment using PayPal:


Commenting rules and guidelines

We value the thoughts and opinions of our readers and welcome healthy discussions on our website. In order to maintain a respectful and positive community, we ask that all commenters follow these rules:

  • Treat others with kindness and respect.
  • Stay on topic and contribute to the conversation in a meaningful way.
  • Do not use abusive or hateful language.
  • Do not spam or promote unrelated products or services.
  • Do not post any personal information or content that is illegal, obscene, or otherwise inappropriate.

We reserve the right to remove any comments that violate these rules. By commenting on our website, you agree to abide by these guidelines. Thank you for helping to create a positive and welcoming environment for all.

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *