• CME produced by X8.1 flare forecast to reach Earth on February 5, causing G1 geomagnetic storm

    A coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with an X8.1 solar flare from Region 4366 at 23:57 UTC on February 1 is forecast to glance Earth late on February 5, 2026. The impact is expected to produce G1 – Minor geomagnetic storm conditions and possible auroral activity poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. This was the third-strongest solar flare of Solar Cycle 25.

  • Multiple CMEs heading toward Earth, impacts expected between October 15 and 17

    Two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) launched from Active Region 4246 on October 13, 2025, are heading toward Earth and are expected to impact Earth over the next couple of days, according to NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Model output indicates arrival around mid to late October 17, though forecasters note a possible earlier impact as both CMEs interact with earlier ejecta from the same region.

  • CME impact and high-speed stream forecast to enhance geomagnetic activity through September 8

    A large filament eruption was observed at 19:45 UTC on September 4, 2025, followed by at least three CMEs. Model runs suggest a likely arrival early on September 7. In addition, a recurrent positive polarity coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) activity is expected to enhance solar wind parameters beginning early September 6, with G1 – Minor to G2 – Moderate geomagnetic storm conditions likely through September 8.

  • Two CMEs impact Earth, producing G4 – Severe geomagnetic storm

    Two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) produced on December 29, 2024, impacted Earth on December 31, causing G4 – Severe geomagnetic storm on January 1, 2025. A slow return to nominal levels is expected by late on January 2. Late on January 3 to early on January 4, a potential glancing blow from the January 1 CME is likely to cause another enhancement.

  • Two CMEs to impact Earth, G3 – Strong Geomagnetic Storm Watch in effect for December 31

    At least two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are heading toward Earth, with impacts expected on December 31 and January 1, 2025. The first CME — much stronger, was produced by a filament eruption associated with an M2.0 flare at 04:30 UTC on December 29 from Active Region (AR) 3939. This resulted in an asymmetric, partial-halo CME first seen in NASA coronagraph imagery at approximately 06:24 UTC.

  • CME impacts Earth, sparking G1 geomagnetic storm

    A coronal mass ejection (CME) produced on December 13, 2024, impacted Earth at 05:19 UTC on December 17, sparking G1 – Minor geomagnetic storming. The K-index reached 5 at 08:07 UTC, with effects limited to areas poleward of 60 degrees geomagnetic latitude. Enhanced solar wind conditions, driven by a positive polarity coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS), are expected to continue through December 18. Meanwhile, solar activity remains low, with a 30-40% chance of M-class flares and a 5% chance of X-class flares through December 19.