·

Roslyn forecast to rapidly strengthen into a hurricane before making landfall along the west-central coast of Mexico

tropical storm roslyn 2310z october 20 2022 f

Tropical Storm “Roslyn” is forecast to rapidly strengthen into a hurricane today and remain a hurricane when it passes near and makes landfall along the west-central coast of Mexico late Saturday and Sunday, October 22 and 23, 2022, accompanied by strong winds and a potentially dangerous storm surge.

  • A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for a portion of the west-central coast of Mexico and will likely be extended northward later today
  • Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding and possible landslides in areas of rugged terrain over coastal southwestern and west-central Mexico

At 09:00 UTC on October 21, the center of Tropical Storm “Roslyn” was located about 315 km (195 miles) S of Manzanillo and 510 km (315 miles) SSE of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico.1

It had maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h (65 mph), minimum central pressure of 998 hPa, and was moving WNW at 11 km/h (7 mph).

A turn toward the NW and NNW is forecast tonight and Saturday, followed by a northward and then north-northeastward motion Saturday night and Sunday.

tropical storm roslyn nhc fcst 09z october 21 2022
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for areas north of Cabo Corrientes to El Roblito; Las Islas Marias.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for areas south of Playa Perula to Manzanillo

On the forecast track, the center of Roslyn will move parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico today and tonight, and pass near and make landfall along the coast of west-central Mexico Saturday night (LT) and Sunday.

Rapid strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and the system is forecast to become a hurricane later today.

Roslyn is expected to still be a hurricane when it reaches the coast of west-central Mexico on Sunday, October 23.

tropical storm roslyn 2310z october 20 2022
Tropical Storm “Roslyn” at 23:10 UTC on October 21, 2022. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers

Rapid weakening is expected after landfall, and although the official forecast shows a remnant low over northern Mexico in 72 hours for continuity, Roslyn is likely to have dissipated by that time.2

References:

1 Tropical Storm Roslyn Advisory Number 6 – NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL – 400 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2022

2 Tropical Storm Roslyn Discussion Number 6 – NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL – 400 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2022

Featured image: Tropical Storm “Roslyn” at 23:10 UTC on October 21, 2022. Credit: NOAA/GOES-East, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers

If you value what we do here, create your ad-free account and support our journalism.

Share:

Related articles

Producing content you read on this website takes a lot of time, effort, and hard work. If you value what we do here, select the level of your support and register your account.

Your support makes this project fully self-sustainable and keeps us independent and focused on the content we love to create and share.

All our supporters can browse the website without ads, allowing much faster speeds and a clean interface. Your comments will be instantly approved and you’ll have a direct line of communication with us from within your account dashboard. You can suggest new features and apps and you’ll be able to use them before they go live.

You can choose the level of your support.

Stay kind, vigilant and ready!

$5 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Instant comments
  • Direct communication
  • New features and apps suggestions
  • Early access to new apps and features

$50 /year

$10 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Instant comments
  • Direct communication
  • New features and apps suggestions
  • Early access to new apps and features

$100 /year

$25 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Instant comments
  • Direct communication
  • New features and apps suggestions
  • Early access to new apps and features

$200 /year

You can also support us by sending us a one-off payment using PayPal:

Leave a reply