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Sunspot numbers exceed predictions for 18 straight months

Solar Cycle Sunspot Number Progression April 2022

Sunspot numbers provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have exceeded the official forecast made by the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel for 18 straight months in April 2022. The monthly value at the end of March was more than twice the forecast and the highest in nearly 7 years.

“New sunspot counts from NOAA confirm that Solar Cycle 25 is racing ahead of the official forecast–and the gap is growing,” Dr. Tony Phillips of SpaceWeather.com said on April 5, 2022.1

In March 2022, the Sun produced 146 solar flares, including one X-flare and 13 M-flares, resulting in geomagnetic storms that made auroras be seen as far south as Colorado (+38N) and Nebraska (+42N).

In addition, there were multiple shortwave radio blackouts that disrupted communications on ships at sea and airplanes flying over the poles.

“If the current trends continue, April will be even busier,” Phillips added.

“The Panel predicted that Solar Cycle 25 would peak in July 2025 as a relatively weak cycle, similar in magnitude to its predecessor Solar Cycle 24. Instead, Solar Cycle 25 is shaping up to be stronger.”

Solar Cycle Sunspot Number Progression (Solar Cycle 23 - 25) - April 2022
Solar Cycle Progression (Solar Cycle 24 – 25) – April 2022. Credit: NOAA/SWPX
Solar Cycle Sunspot Number Progression (Solar Cycle 23 - 25) - April 2022
Solar Cycle Progression (Solar Cycle 23 – 25) – April 2022. Credit: NOAA/SWPX
Solar Cycle Progression (Solar Cycle 19 – 25) – April 2022. Credit: NOAA/SWPX

Reference:

1 Solar Cycle Update – SpaceWeather.com – April 5, 2022

Featured image credit: NOAA/SWPC

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17 Comments

  1. I find it interesting that while several of the posters are so busy comparing the size of their male members, no one is seeing that their wives are getting screwed by other guys. “Translation”
    More time and energy needs to be spent on how to protect our infrastructure for when this becomes more severe. Correct?

  2. SUNSPOT AR2975 HAS GROWN IN SIZE ON THE FAR SIDE OF THE SUN AND IT WILL POSE SERIOUS THREAT IF IT TURNS TOWARD EARTH

    It seems that old Sunspot AR2975 grew in size on the far side of the Sun and could turn towards Earth in the next a few days. In late March Sunspot AR2975 unleashed a fusillade of strong Earth-directed explosions including a Cannibal CME and an X-class solar flare. This sunspot can produce very intense solar flare and release huge amount of energy. In fact, if the report of https://lnkd.in/e2Djkf8 is accurate that this Sunspot group is altering the way the Sun vibrates, which means its size has grown, then it can produce very powerful solar flare, most likely stronger than the solar flare which was recorded on April 2, 2001, with a massive speed of 7.2 million Kilometers per hour. That flare was the biggest one ever recorded, but we were very lucky that flare was not directed towards earth. However, identical flare cannot only damage communication networks in space and on Earth, like radio communications, Global Positioning Systems (GPS) connectivity, power grids, and satellites, but also, causes severe effect on the natural systems of the Earth. Surely, a massive earthquake will be triggered if powerful solar flare will hit the Earth, especially that the magnetic field of the Earth at the present time is in a weak state. https://lnkd.in/dXEPxwJu

    1. How’s that link search going Jamal. Glad you brought up your link between earthquakes and solar activity. You said it was in your book. I read your book. There isn’t any data analysis of this in you book.

  3. So many people talk about climate change. Did it ever occur to anyone that the changes that we are seeing in the weather and increase of disease is a byproduct of the types of energy used with IT, AI, and tech use? Did it even dawn on anyone to ask if weather or not the Sun and the increase of sunspot activity is a direct result if the increase of the negative energies tech uses? That perhaps because those types of energies are a contradiction to life on this planet, that the Sun’s sunspot activity has increased, to balance out the negative activity the negative energy created from WiFi waves an Tech energy. The earth can exist with out tech, it can’t exist without the Sun. Maybe if people got their priorities right, unplugged, said no to 5 and 6 G, nature would begin to correct itself and humanity would not be inundated with so many strange and unusual happenings in the weather, with food and water problems, or with strange virus activity.

    1. So I bought the article. Since I am so “simple” I just searched for “sun spot, sun spots, sunspots, sunspot, activity and Cycle 25.” Came up with nothing regarding sunspots. But I learned that all wildfires are caused by holes in the corona, and that Jamal Shrair doesn’t cite any of the pictures he steals off the internet. But he copyrights his own graphics. That’s gumption, I tell you. Bet it will take me less than half an hour to google those images and find the rightful owners; and I have the receipts that you are selling them. Have a day Jamal!

  4. Gregory Miller, with full respect to you but, I have to tell you that you are very simple minded person indeed. In my comment, I stated that I challenge any solar physicist anywhere in the world to inform me about one observation from any observational device, in space or on land that showed the sun to be a thermonuclear furnace. In fact, all the observations since the start of the space age and without exception showed that the gaseous model of the sun is not even wrong. It is an absolute outrage, that this model is still accepted in 2022 to represent the physical reality of our star. I am preparing a comprehensive research with over 700 references so far that will hit with massive power not only, all your authors of peer-reviewed papers on their stubborn heads, but also and more importantly the world leading scientists in NASA and other famous institutes. You are a simple person Gregory Miller and don’t underestimate my knowledge when it comes to the Sun, because I spent over 25 years reading research papers from top mainstream solar physicists. Just on the issue of sunspots, I read 116 peer-reviewed papers. However, the basic conclusion that you have to keep in mind is that all peer-reviewed papers that are published on the sun are complicated mathematical models that have nothing to do with the physical reality of the sun. And, in the last 20-25 years the theoreticians faced serious problems to come up with models that explain the observations that showed deadly contradictions with the gaseous model.

    1. You asked for a single article about data that proved that the sun was indeed thermonuclear. I posted a link that’s almost a decade old that is, indeed, exactly what you asked for.

      Attempts to attack my character don’t change that fact. I have a 20 year old Ph.D. in earth sciences based on thermodynamic modeling, retired now.. Your years old Amazon Author link says you will be defending any day now, and LinkedIn says your are employed for the past 4 years…by yourself?

      If your theories are based on the sun NOT being thermonuclear, I would say your theories were exploded about the same time you didn’t defend. Am I missing something?

    1. “…we deduce that sunspot Solar Cycle 25 could have a magnitude that rivals the top few since records began. This outcome would be in stark contrast to the community consensus estimate of sunspot Solar Cycle 25 magnitude.”
      Wow, that’s a powerful statement to make (from the paper).
      Surely Jamal has something even more poignant and concrete to quote that predates the 2020 paper you cite?

  5. Hey Jamal. Go ahead and leave us a link to where you made that prediction. You must have posted the link to NASA’s public prediction by mistake. They made theirs December 9, 2019. When did you make yours?

  6. JAMAL SHRAIR VS. MAINSTREAM SOLAR PHYSICISTS

    I HAVE WON, ONCE AGAIN AGAINST SOLAR CYCLE EXPERTS AND I WILL ALWAYS WIN ANY ARGUMENT AGAINST MAINSTREAM SOLAR PHYSICISTS. WHY? BECAUSE, I KNOW VERY WELL, THE PHYSICAL REALITY OF THE SUN WHILE THEY DO NOT. NOTE, THAT THE ONLY PROBLEM PREVENTING THE REALIZATION OF PRACTICAL FUSION POWER IS THE MISUNDERSTANDING OF THE SUN. THE SUN IS NOT A THERMONUCLEAR FURNACE AND I CHALLENGE THE TOP SCIENTISTS AT NASA, OR ANY OTHER INSTITUTION TO TELL ME JUST ONE OBSERVATION SINCE THE START OF THE SPACE AGE THAT SHOWS THE SUN TO BE A THERMONUCLEAR FURNACE. HOWEVER, WHEN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ABOUT SOLAR CYCLE 25 CAME OUT IN 2019, I STATED MY OBJECTION AND MADE IT CLEAR THAT THIS CYCLE WILL BE FAR STRONGER THAN WHAT THE PANEL PREDICTED AND IT WILL REACH ITS MAXIMUM ACTIVITY EARLIER THAN 2025. https://lnkd.in/dY2JkRFt
    NOW, YOU CAN SEE FOR YOURSELF WHO IS CORRECT, JAMAL SHRAIR OR THOSE EXPERTS?

    1. Over the past few years you have made many claims to have predicted new observations, that other scientists couldn’t with current theories.
      I have yet to see you reference us to where you documented ANY prediction you have made.
      Do you have a website, blog, article, comment, post, book, anything to back up your claims?
      Can you show anywhere between December 9, 2019 and today where you made a sunspot cycle prediction?
      Please see replies and links in the thread.

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