Tropical Storm “Pawan” about to make landfall over Somalia
Tropical Cyclone "Pawan" is slowly weakening on its way toward Somalia. Landfall is expected late November 6 into November 7, south of Eyl, an ancient port town in the northeastern Nugal province. Pawan is the 8 named storm of the 2019 North Indian Ocean cyclone season.
Tropical Cyclone "Pawan" (06A), located approximately 926 km (575 miles) south of Salalah, Oman, and has tracked southwestward at 15 km/h (9 mph) over the past 6 hours, JTWC forecasters noted at 21:00 UTC on December 5, 2019.
Tropical Cyclone "Pawan" (top), TC 02S (bottom left), and Tropical Cyclone "Ambali" on December 4 and 5, 2019. Credit: METEOSAT-8
Animated enhanced infrared imagery reveals a partially exposed low-level circulation center under upper-level convection. The initial position is supported by a bullseye 17:34 UTC, December 5 METOP-A ASCAT pass, lending high confidence to the initial position.
The initial intensity of 65 km/h (40 mph) is hedged on the lower end of a consensus of subjective Dvorak and automated current intensity estimates ranging up to 72 km/h (44 mph).
The cyclone remains in an area of moderate vertical wind shear and strong poleward flow aloft. The persistent southerly flow aloft has caused the majority of the flaring convection to be limited to the northern quadrants of the system.
Tropical Cyclone "Pawan" (top), TC 02S (bottom left), and Tropical Cyclone "Ambali" at 06:30 UTC on December 5, 2019. Credit: METEOSAT-8
.gif)
However, the system should maintain its strong outflow over the next 24 hours, offsetting the persistent vertical wind shear and maintaining system strength until landfall, expected late December 5 into December 6.
As the system moves over land, it will quickly dissipate as it interacts with the terrain.
Featured image: Tropical Cyclone "Pawan" at 06:30 UTC on December 5, 2019. Credit: METEOSAT-8
If you value what we do here, create your ad-free account and support our journalism.
Your support makes a difference
Dear valued reader,
We hope that our website has been a valuable resource for you.
The reality is that it takes a lot of time, effort, and resources to maintain and grow this website. We rely on the support of readers like you to keep providing high-quality content.
If you have found our website to be helpful, please consider making a contribution to help us continue to bring you the information you need. Your support means the world to us and helps us to keep doing what we love.
Support us by choosing your support level – Silver, Gold or Platinum. Other support options include Patreon pledges and sending us a one-off payment using PayPal.
Thank you for your consideration. Your support is greatly appreciated.
Sincerely,
Teo Blašković
Commenting rules and guidelines
We value the thoughts and opinions of our readers and welcome healthy discussions on our website. In order to maintain a respectful and positive community, we ask that all commenters follow these rules:
We reserve the right to remove any comments that violate these rules. By commenting on our website, you agree to abide by these guidelines. Thank you for helping to create a positive and welcoming environment for all.