Sunspot numbers exceed predictions for 18 straight months

Sunspot numbers exceed predictions for 18 straight months

Sunspot numbers provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have exceeded the official forecast made by the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel for 18 straight months in April 2022. The monthly value at the end of March was more than twice the forecast and the highest in nearly 7 years.

Solar Cycle 25 outrunning the official forecast

Solar Cycle 25 outrunning the official forecast

New sunspot counts from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) confirm that Solar Cycle 25 sunspot numbers have now exceeded predictions for 15 straight months. Consequently, the geomagnetic activity is ramping up while cosmic rays reaching Earth are…

Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel forecast update

Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel forecast update

Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel, co-chaired by NOAA/NASA, released its latest forecast for Solar Cycle 25 (SC25) on December 9, 2019. The forecast consensus: a peak in July 2025 (+/- 8 months), with a smoothed sunspot number (SSN) of 115. The panel agreed that SC25…

Century-class Solar Minimum in progress

Century-class Solar Minimum in progress

The Sun was blank more than 89% of the time from June 22 – September 22, with only 6 brief and tiny sunspots and not a single significant solar flare during this period of extreme quiet, Dr. Tony Phillips of the SpaceWeather reports. "This is a sign that Solar…

Irina Kitiashvili with the NASA Solar Cycle 25 Forecast

Irina Kitiashvili with the NASA Solar Cycle 25 Forecast

Next solar cycle – Solar Cycle 25 – is expected to be the lowest in 200 years. The forecast for the next solar cycle says it will be the weakest of the last 200 years. The maximum of this next cycle – measured in terms of sunspot number, a standard measure of…

Solar experts predict below average activity in Solar Cycle 25

Solar experts predict below average activity in Solar Cycle 25

Scientists charged with predicting the Sun’s activity for the next 11-year solar cycle say that it’s likely to be weak, much like the current one – Solar Cycle 24. The current cycle is declining and predicted to reach solar minimum late in 2019 or 2020….

SWPC: Solar Cycle 24 declining more quickly than forecast

SWPC: Solar Cycle 24 declining more quickly than forecast

Current solar cycle 24 is declining more quickly than forecast, NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) reports. The smoothed, predicted sunspot number for April to May 2018 is about 15. However, the actual monthly values have been lower, they say. Will…