Asteroid 2024 YR4’s impact probablity drops to 0.16%
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is making headlines again after new calculations revealed that the asteroid now has an impact probability to Earth of just 0.16% in 2032.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 is making headlines again after new calculations revealed that the asteroid now has an impact probability to Earth of just 0.16% in 2032.

The impact risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032 increased from 1.8% to 2.6% (1 in 38) with new trajectory simulations and refined calculations. While the increase remains within a low-risk range, continued monitoring and additional observations will be necessary to further refine impact predictions.

A bright green fireball streaked across the skies of Alberta and Saskatchewan, Canada, on Sunday, February 16, 2025, marking the start of the fireball season.

Starlink satellites are re-entering Earth’s atmosphere at an increasing rate, with 120 burning up in January 2025 alone. This has created nightly artificial meteor showers and raised concerns about aluminum oxide accumulation in the atmosphere.

The impact risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032 increased from 1.2% to 1.8% on February 6, 2025, following new trajectory simulations and refined calculations. While the increase remains within a low-risk range, continued monitoring and additional observations will be necessary to further refine impact predictions.

A very bright green fireball illuminated the sky over Pennsylvania, U.S., at 08:44 UTC (03:44 LT) on Saturday, February 1, 2025. The event was widely observed across multiple states and parts of Canada, with some witnesses reporting a ground-level flash shortly after it disappeared. Others described flashing lights moving toward the area, followed by helicopters hovering over what appeared to be a possible impact site near a lake.

A newly discovered asteroid designated 2024 YR4 has activated global planetary defense protocols after initial observations indicated a small but notable chance of impact in seven years. International monitoring networks have begun refining its trajectory, while space agencies evaluate potential response strategies, including possible deflection measures.

A very bright fireball exploded over the skies of the Rio de La Plata area at around 01:15 UTC on February 2, 2025, creating a spectacular display for people of both Uruguay and Argentina.

A bright fireball lit up the sky over Ontario, Canada, on January 28, 2025. Witnesses reported that the event lasted a few seconds, with colors ranging from white to orange and green. The American Meteor Society (AMS) estimated that the fireball’s path began above Combermere and traveled south toward Marmora.

A large fireball entered Earth’s atmosphere over the Otago area, South Island, New Zealand around 10:00 UTC (23:00 LT) on January 31, 2025, producing loud, house-shaking sonic booms. There is a possibility pieces of the object survived and ended up somewhere in the Eyre Mountains.