ENSO-neutral persists, NOAA issues La Niña Watch for late 2025
ENSO remains neutral, and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has issued a La Niña Watch, assigning a 71 % probability of La Niña development during October–December 2025.
Heavy rain and flood risk for Arizona and New Mexico as tropical moisture from Priscilla and Raymond arrives
Back-to-back tropical storms — Priscilla and Raymond — are forecast to channel deep tropical moisture into the U.S. Southwest between October 10 and 14 2025, causing a multi-day rain event and creating an elevated flash-flood risk across Arizona and New Mexico.
Strong M6.7 aftershock hits Mindanao, Philippines hours after deadly M7.4
A strong and shallow earthquake registered by the USGS as M6.7 struck Mindanao, Philippines, at 11:12 UTC (19:12 LT) on October 10, 2025. The agency is reporting a depth of 61 km (38 miles). According to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC), there is no tsunami threat from this event. This event is considered a significant aftershock of the powerful M7.4 earthquake that hit the same region earlier the same day.
Subtropical Storm Karen forms in North Atlantic
Subtropical Storm Karen formed in the North Atlantic on October 10, 2025. and was named by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at 03:00 UTC. The system is expected to weaken and make its post-tropical transition in the next two days.
Strong and shallow M6.3 earthquake hits Admiralty Islands region, Papua New Guinea
A strong and shallow earthquake registered by the USGS as M6.3 hit the Admiralty Islands region, Papua New Guinea at 02:08 UTC on October 10, 2025. The agency is reporting a depth of 10 km (6.2 miles). EMSC is reporting the same magnitude and depth.
Major M7.4 earthquake hits Mindanao, Philippines, leaving at least 9 dead and hundreds injured
A strong earthquake registered by the USGS as M7.4 struck off the east coast of Mindanao, Philippines, at 01:43 UTC (09:43 local time) on October 10, 2025. The agency is reporting a depth of 58.1 km (36 miles). EMSC is reporting M7.4 at a depth of 53 km (33 miles). According to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC), hazardous tsunami waves were initially possible within 300 km (186 miles) of the epicenter, but the threat has since passed.
Strong M6.0 earthquake hits near the east coast of Kamchatka, Russia
A strong earthquake registered by the USGS as M6.0 hit near the east coast of Kamchatka, Russia at 13:28 UTC on October 9, 2025. The agency is reporting a depth of 57 km (35 miles). EMSC is reporting the same magnitude and depth. There is no tsunami threat from this event.
Severe floods destroy nearly 10 000 homes, kill 22 in southern Chad
Flooding in southern Chad has killed 22 people and affected approximately 123 000 across 549 villages in Mandoul and Moyen-Chari provinces, according to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN OCHA) on October 8, 2025. The floods destroyed more than 9 800 houses, injured 19 people, and displaced around 720 residents as heavy rains continued across the region.
At least one dead as Typhoon Halong passes near Izu Islands, Japan
At least one person was reported dead as Typhoon Halong passed near Japan’s Izu Islands on Thursday, October 9, 2025. The typhoon brought record-breaking rainfall and strong winds across the islands, prompting multiple alerts from authorities.
Early-season nor’easter forecast to affect areas from the Carolinas to New England this weekend
An early-season nor’easter forming off the Southeast U.S. coast is expected to strengthen and move northward from Friday, October 10, through Tuesday, October 14 2025, producing coastal flooding, heavy rain, and wind gusts capable of downing trees and power lines along parts of the East Coast.
