A positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream currently interacting with Earth’s magnetic field produced a G2 – Moderate geomagnetic storm, with the K-index peaking at 6 at 20:00 UTC on February 16, 2026. The storm may generate visible aurora across northern U.S. latitudes and cause minor operational effects in satellite and power systems.
An M1.0 solar flare erupted from Active Region 4373 at 08:58 UTC on February 13, 2026, launching a coronal mass ejection (CME) expected to glance Earth around February 15–16. SWPC forecasts G1 – Minor to isolated G2 – Moderate geomagnetic storm conditions as the CME interacts with a co-rotating interaction region and a positive-polarity coronal-hole high-speed stream.
An impulsive X4.2 solar flare erupted from geoeffective Active Region 4366 at 12:13 UTC on February 4, 2026. The flare originated from a magnetically complex beta-gamma-delta region that produced dozens of M- and 5 other X-class flares since February 1. Its location near the central solar disk raises the possibility of Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) this week.
An X1.5 solar flare erupted from AR 4366 at 14:08 UTC on February 3, 2026, the fifth X-class event recorded since February 1. The flare caused an R3-level radio blackout over daylight regions of Earth, affecting HF communication across the Atlantic and parts of Europe and Africa.
A coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with an X8.1 solar flare from Region 4366 at 23:57 UTC on February 1 is forecast to glance Earth late on February 5, 2026. The impact is expected to produce G1 – Minor geomagnetic storm conditions and possible auroral activity poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. This was the third-strongest solar flare of Solar Cycle 25.
A major X8.1 solar flare erupted from Active Region 4366 at 23:57 UTC on February 1, 2026, following rapid magnetic expansion and intense flaring throughout the day. The region also produced an X1.0 flare at 12:33 UTC on February 1 and an X2.8 event at 00:36 UTC and an X1.6 at 08:14 UTC on February 2, accompanied by more than 20 M-class flares since 02:00 UTC on February 1.
A major X1.0 solar flare erupted at 12:33 UTC on February 1, 2026, from Active Region 4366, following a sequence of strong M-class flares earlier in the day, including M6.6 and M6.7 flares within two hours. The event started at 11:52 and ended at 12:38 UTC. With the region now rotating toward the center of the solar disk and maintaining a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration, conditions are favorable for Earth-directed CMEs in the days ahead.
Severe geomagnetic storm on January 19, 2026, generated a rare auroral glow inside the South Atlantic Anomaly, a region where Earth’s magnetic field is significantly weaker. Photographers in Brazil captured a diffuse purple band over Cambará do Sul during peak geomagnetic activity, documenting the latest in rare instances of possible auroral or SAR arc activity within the anomaly.
The impact of a full halo coronal mass ejection (CME) at Earth on January 19, 2026, drove geomagnetic activity to G4 – Severe levels, producing widespread aurora across Europe, Asia, and the United States.
A G4 – Severe solar radiation storm is in progress after ≥10 MeV proton flux exceeded 10 000 pfu at 18:10 UTC on January 19, 2026, following the X1.9 solar flare on January 18. As the associated full-halo coronal mass ejection approaches Earth, forecasters warn that a G4 – Severe geomagnetic storm is likely early on January 20.
