Increased solar activity, more X-class solar flares possible

Increased solar activity, more X-class solar flares possible

Solar activity increased over the past 4 days, with numerous C- and M-class solar flares and one X-class flare. With now geoeffective AR 3182, the source of the X1.2 solar flare on January 6, developing unstable ‘beta-gamma-delta’ magnetic configuration, the chances for more X-class solar flares have increased to 30%.

X1.2 solar flare erupts from Active Region 3182

X1.2 solar flare erupts from Active Region 3182

A major solar flare measuring X1.2 at its peak erupted from AR 3182 at 00:57 UTC on January 6, 2023. The event started at 00:43 UTC and ended at 01:07 UTC.

Geomagnetic storms likely on January 4 and 5 due to the combined effects of a CME and CH HSS

Geomagnetic storms likely on January 4 and 5 due to the combined effects of a CME and CH HSS

Geomagnetic storms reaching G1 – Minor levels are likely on January 4 and 5, 2023 due to combined effects of a coronal mass ejection (CME) that left the Sun on December 30 and coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) effects. Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a chance for M-class flares through January 28.

Multiple M-class solar flares erupt from AR 3165

Multiple M-class solar flares erupt from AR 3165

Multiple M- and C-class solar flares were detected on December 14, 2022, with the strongest being M6.2 at 14:42 UTC. While several coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were produced, none of them appears to be Earth-directed.

Two M1.2 solar flares erupt from Region 3141

Two M1.2 solar flares erupt from Region 3141

Two M1.2 solar flares erupted from Active Region 3141 (Beta-Gamma-Delta) on November 11, 2022 – the first at 07:14 and the second at 11:40 UTC. The region is located at the center of the solar disk — coronal mass ejections (CMEs) produced by it are likely to be Earth-directed.

Moderately strong M5.2 solar flare erupts from AR 3141

Moderately strong M5.2 solar flare erupts from AR 3141

A moderately strong solar flare measuring M5.2 at its peak erupted from Active Region 3141 at 00:11 UTC on November 7, 2022. A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was produced during the event but the location of this region does not favor Earth-directed CMEs.

M1.5 solar flare erupts from departing region 3112

M1.5 solar flare erupts from departing region 3112

An M1.5 solar flare erupted from Active Region 3112 at 00:19 UTC on October 13, 2022. AR 3112 is the source of several M-class solar flares over the past couple of days, including an impulsive M3.9 on October 11.

M3.9 and M1.5 solar flares erupt from AR 3112

M3.9 and M1.5 solar flares erupt from AR 3112

An impulsive M3.9 solar flare erupted from Active Region 3112 Beta at 08:42 UTC. The flare started at 08:36 and ended at 08:46 UTC. It was followed by M1.5 at 10:52 UTC from the same region.

Major X1.0 solar flare erupts from AR 3110

Major X1.0 solar flare erupts from AR 3110

A major solar flare, measuring X1.0 at its peak at 20:25 UTC, erupted on October 2, 2022, from Active Region 3110. The event started at 19:53 and ended at 20:34 UTC.