·

Tropical Cyclone “Carlos” forms east of Madagascar

tropical-cyclone-carlos-reunion-february-2017

Tropical Cyclone "Carlos" (04S) has formed east of Madagascar on February 4, 2017 as the fourth named tropical cyclone of the 2016/17 southern hemisphere season, the fewest on record since 1928. Carlos could affect Mauritius and Réunion as a significant tropical storm. The current forecast track takes it right over Réunion on February 7.

According to RSMC La Réunion, Carlos is currently a Moderate Tropical Storm. At 12:00 UTC, its maximum sustained winds were 83 km/h (51.5 mph) with gusts to 120 km/h (74.5 mph). Central pressure was estimated at 995 hPa.

A potential rapid intensification is possible during the next 24 hours and the center reminded that small systems are known to show rapid intensity fluctuation. 

Tropical Storm Carlos on February 4, 2017

Tropical Cyclone "Carlos" on February 4, 2017. Credit: NASA/NOAA/DoD Suomi NPP/VIIRS

Tropical Cyclone Carlos (04S) forecast track by JTWC on February 4, 2017

Tropical Cyclone "Carlos" forecast track by JTWC on February 4, 2017

"The cloud pattern has continued to improve this afternoon especially on visible imagery with a temporary eye-like feature followed by a pop up of hot towers near the center very recently," the center said. "The intensity analysis is a tough one with this case of midget system."

Today, the track is expected to bend south-south-eastwards. The system should slow down tomorrow due to the lack of a well-defined steering flow. Carlos should gradually accelerate towards the southwest on Monday, February 6.

Significant intensification is likely from February 8.

Tropical Storm Carlos - RSMC La Reunion forecast track - February 4, 2017

Tropical Cyclone Carlos - Multi-spectral Satellite Image - 12:00 UTC on February 4, 2017

Credit: EUMETSAT, JTWC/SATOPS

The formation of Carlos has put a halt to historic inactivity in the Southern Hemisphere and the world's quietest start to a year since 1928.

Featured image: Tropical Cyclone "Carlos" on February 4, 2017. Credit: NASA/NOAA/DoD Suomi NPP/VIIRS

If you value what we do here, create your ad-free account and support our journalism.

Share:

Related articles



Your support makes a difference

Dear valued reader,

We hope that our website has been a valuable resource for you.

The reality is that it takes a lot of time, effort, and resources to maintain and grow this website. We rely on the support of readers like you to keep providing high-quality content.

If you have found our website to be helpful, please consider making a contribution to help us continue to bring you the information you need. Your support means the world to us and helps us to keep doing what we love.

Support us by choosing your support level – Silver, Gold or Platinum. Other support options include Patreon pledges and sending us a one-off payment using PayPal.

Thank you for your consideration. Your support is greatly appreciated.

Sincerely,
Teo Blašković

$5 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Clean user interface and fast browsing
  • Direct communication with us via chat and email
  • Suggest new features, content and applications
  • Early access to new apps and features

$50 /year

$10 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Clean user interface and fast browsing
  • Direct communication with us via chat and email
  • Suggest new features, content and applications
  • Early access to new apps and features

$100 /year

$25 /month

  • Ad-free account
  • Clean user interface and fast browsing
  • Direct communication with us via chat and email
  • Suggest new features, content and applications
  • Early access to new apps and features

$200 /year

You can also support us on Patreon

support us on patreon

or by sending us a one-off payment using PayPal:


Commenting rules and guidelines

We value the thoughts and opinions of our readers and welcome healthy discussions on our website. In order to maintain a respectful and positive community, we ask that all commenters follow these rules:

  • Treat others with kindness and respect.
  • Stay on topic and contribute to the conversation in a meaningful way.
  • Do not use abusive or hateful language.
  • Do not spam or promote unrelated products or services.
  • Do not post any personal information or content that is illegal, obscene, or otherwise inappropriate.

We reserve the right to remove any comments that violate these rules. By commenting on our website, you agree to abide by these guidelines. Thank you for helping to create a positive and welcoming environment for all.

One Comment

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *