• Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact risk updated to 1.8%

    The impact risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032 increased from 1.2% to 1.8% on February 6, 2025, following new trajectory simulations and refined calculations. While the increase remains within a low-risk range, continued monitoring and additional observations will be necessary to further refine impact predictions.

  • Hidden geomagnetic reversals found in Earth’s magnetic history

    Earth’s magnetic field may have experienced more polarity reversals than currently recorded, according to a new study using statistical modeling. Researchers found anomalies in the geomagnetic reversal frequency, suggesting that some reversals remain undetected. Incorporating recently discovered reversals from Ethiopian flood basalts into the dataset revealed hidden patterns that could refine our understanding of Earth’s magnetic history.

  • Widespread freezing rain and dangerous travel forecast from Midwest to Mid-Atlantic, U.S.

    A mix of freezing rain and sleet will develop across parts of the Midwest and northern Mid-Atlantic from Wednesday, February 5 through Thursday, February 6, 2025, as Arctic air lingers ahead of an approaching storm system. The greatest ice accumulation risks are expected in western Maryland, the West Virginia Panhandle, and Pennsylvania, where ice buildup may cause power outages and hazardous road conditions. Elsewhere, lighter freezing rain could still lead to travel disruptions across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.

  • Ollera Creek Bridge collapse cuts key transport route in Queensland’s worst floods in 60 years, Australia

    The Ollera Creek Bridge, a critical section of the Bruce Highway, was destroyed over the weekend, severing a key transport link in Queensland amid the state’s worst flooding in 60 years. The floods have claimed the life of at least one person after a rescue boat capsized and have inundated thousands of homes and numerous roads across the region.

  • Major flooding underway in northern Queensland after extreme rainfall, Australia

    A major flood event is underway in northern Queensland, Australia, on Sunday, February 2, 2025, after parts of the region received between 500 and 1 000 mm (19.7 – 39.4 inches) of rain in the 48 hours leading up to 09:00 LT today. At least one person has drowned in floodwaters after an SES boat capsized. The region is forecast to receive additional heavy rainfall, with some areas expected to see up to 500 mm (19.7 inches) of additional rain over the next 24 hours.

  • Major atmospheric river to impact California coast this weekend

    Forecast confidence in a high-impact atmospheric river (AR) event has steadily increased since January 27, 2025, and CW3E is now warning about a major AR event expected to begin this Friday, January 31 along the U.S. West Coast, and potentially continue into early next week. The most recent forecast from the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) is showing >50% probability of an AR 4 or greater over along the California coast between Santa Cruz and Mendocino Counties.

  • Increased volcanic activity detected at Mount Teide, no imminent eruption risk, Tenerife

    The Scientific Committee for the Evaluation and Monitoring of Volcanic Phenomena (CCES) has confirmed that the Teide volcano in Tenerife, Spain is exhibiting anomalous geophysical activity, characterized by increased seismicity, geodetic deformation, and gas emissions. While there are no indications of an imminent eruption, experts acknowledge an elevated likelihood of volcanic activity in the medium to long term.