• SPC issues level 4 risk of severe thunderstorms for parts of Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, and Louisiana from Saturday to Sunday morning

    Severe storms will develop Friday, March 14, 2025, across the Central and Southern Plains into the Middle and Lower Mississippi Valley, where the SPC has issued a Moderate Risk (level 4/5) through Saturday morning. By Saturday, the threat shifts east, with a Moderate Risk in parts of the Tennessee Valley, Lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast through Sunday morning. These storms may produce damaging winds exceeding 120 km/h (75 mph), hail larger than 5 cm (2 inches), and strong tornadoes rated EF-2 to EF-5.

  • Nocturnal tornado outbreak forecast for Mississippi River Valley

    A powerful surface low, forecast to reach pressures in the 970s hPa range, will move from the central Great Plains to the upper Midwest on Friday, March 14, 2025. This system will intensify the low-level jet, with wind speeds approaching hurricane force, drawing warm, moist air northward. By sunset, dew points near 16°C (60°F) are…

  • Historic fire-weather conditions forecast for southern Great Plains

    Extremely critical fire weather conditions are forecast for Friday, March 14, 2025, across parts of the southern Plains and Midwest due to historically strong winds and low humidity. A wildfire outbreak is possible in the southern Plains, with fast-moving and uncontrollable fires likely. Wind gusts between 95–130 km/h (60–80 mph) may cause rapid fire spread and significant danger to affected areas.